Calibration of microsimulation models of advance detection and warning systems at signalized intersections

Remigiusz Wojtal; Laurence R.  Rilett

Titles

Abstract

W artykule przedstawiono procedurę kalibracji i walidacji modeli mikrosymulacji z użyciem mierników (średnia, wariancja i średni bezwzględny błąd procentowy), oraz testów statystycznych (studenta, Shapiro-Wilka, Kolmogorow-Smirnova oraz Wilcoxona) dla porównania danych empirycznych i z symulacji. Algorytm genetyczny wykorzystano do doboru parametrów kalibracyjnych. Metodologia została sprawdzona w programie VISSIM do analizy dwóch systemów poprawy BRD: Systemu Wczesnej Detekcji i Wczesnego Ostrzegania, które stosuje się na skrzyżowaniach z sygnalizacją świetlną. W wyniku uzyskano skalibrowany i zweryfikowany model, który można użyć do porównania środków poprawy BRD na zamiejskich skrzyżowaniach z sygnalizacją w stanie Nebraska (USA). To podejście można wykorzystać w podobnych analizach.

This paper presents a calibration and validation procedure for microsimulation models, which used metrics (mean, variance, and mean absolute percentage error) with statistical tests (t-test, Shapiro-Wilk, Kolmogorov-Smirnov and Wilcoxon), to compare empirical and simulated data. A genetic algorithm was used to identify calibration parameters set. The paper justifies the approach using VISSIM microsimulations to analyze two safety countermeasures: Advance Detection System and Advance Warning System, which can be applied at signalized intersection. The end result was a calibrated and validated model, which could be used to compare different safety countermeasures at rural signalized intersections in the state of Nebraska (USA). The proposed approach could be utilized in similar studies.

Keywords

skrzyżowanie z sygnalizacją, środki poprawy brd, kalibracja, walidacja, model symulacyjny

signalized intersection, safety countermeasures, calibration, validation, simulation model

References

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Information

Information: Technical Transactions, 2017, Volume 12 Year 2017 (114), pp. 123-142

DOI: https://doi.org/10.4467/2353737XCT.17.214.7757

Article type: Original article

Titles:

Polish:

Calibration of microsimulation models of advance detection and warning systems at signalized intersections

English:

Calibration of microsimulation models of advance detection and warning systems at signalized intersections

Authors

Remigiusz Wojtal

Institute of Road & Railroad Engineering and Transport, Faculty of Civil Engineering, Cracow University of Technology

Laurence R. Rilett

Keith W. Klaasmeyer Chair in Engineering and Distinguished Professor, Department of Civil Engineering, University of Nebraska-Lincoln, Lincoln, NE, USA

Published at: 27.12.2017

Article status: Open

Licence: None

Percentage share of authors:

Remigiusz Wojtal (Author) - 50%

Laurence R. Rilett (Author) - 50%

Article corrections:

-

Publication languages:

English

View count: 1366

Number of downloads: 1484

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