Anna Maria Dyner

W artykule autorka opisuje, w jaki sposób stosowaną w psychologii zasadę lustra, polegającą na odnajdywaniu w innych ludziach cech, które jednostka usiłuje wyprzeć, można wykorzystać do typowania potencjalnych zagrożeń ze strony Rosji i Białorusi. Wysuwa hipotezę, że dzięki analizie największych zagrożeń wymienianych przez te państwa, m.in. w dokumentach strategicznych, można wnioskować, zgodnie z zasadą lustra, w jakich sferach będą one najaktywniej prowadzić wrogie działania wobec członków NATO. Wskazuje m.in. działania hybrydowe, które Rosja i współpracująca z nią Białoruś mogą podjąć względem państw zachodnich, jednak bez do-głębnej analizy tych zagadnień. Tym samym artykuł nie wyczerpuje tematu, a jedynie stanowi próbę zasygnalizowania jednej z metod analizy zagrożeń płynących z Rosji i Białorusi.

ABSTRACT 

The mirror principle in assessing hybrid threats emanating from Russia and Belarus

In this article, the author describes how the mirror principle used in psychology, which is based on finding in other people traits that an individual tries to suppress, can be used to identify potential threats from Russia and Belarus. She puts forward the hypothesis that by analysing the greatest threats mentioned by these countries, e.g. in strategic documents, it is possible to deduce, according to the principle of the mirror, in which spheres they will most actively conduct hostile actions against NATO members. Among other things, the hybrid actions that Russia and cooperating Belarus may take against Western states are indicated, but without an in-depth analysis of these issues. Thus, the article does not exhaust the topic, but merely attempts to signal one method of analysing the threats emanating from Russia and Belarus.

In this article, the author describes how the mirror principle used in psychology, which is based on finding in other people traits that an individual tries to suppress, can be used to identify potential threats from Russia and Belarus. She puts forward the hypothesis that by analysing the greatest threats mentioned by these countries, e.g. in strategic documents, it is possible to deduce, according to the principle of the mirror, in which spheres they will most actively conduct hostile actions against NATO members. Among other things, the hybrid actions that Russia and cooperating Belarus may take against Western states are indicated, but without an in-depth analysis of these issues. Thus, the article does not exhaust the topic, but merely attempts to signal one method of analysing the threats emanating from Russia and Belarus.