TY - JOUR
TI - Target backcloth sprawcy, długość serii i dokładność profilowania geograficznego. Symulacyjna analiza target backcloth sprawcy, długości serii i dokładności profilowania geograficznego
AU - Górski, Michał
TI - Target backcloth sprawcy, długość serii i dokładność profilowania geograficznego. Symulacyjna analiza target backcloth sprawcy, długości serii i dokładności profilowania geograficznego
AB - The main aim of this research was to establish a minimum series length when crime opportunities are not distributed at random. In addition, the behaviour of two methods of assessing the accuracy of a geographic profiling algorithms were analysed. The second objective was to analyse the existence and properties of the buffer zone in the created model. For the purpose of this research, a simulation was used. Data showed significantly different behaviour in the two tested methods of assessing the accuracy of geographic profiling, with hit score percentage being the significantly more sensitive measurement. The tests allowed all of the effects attributed to the buffer zone to be obtained, despite the fact that it was not included in the model itself. For series as long as nine offences accuracy in non-random conditions was similar to series length five and uniform distribution of opportunities.
VL - 2021
IS - 126-127
PY - 2022
SN - 1230-7483
C1 - 2720-5983
SP - 101
EP - 120
DO - 10.4467/12307483PFS.20.006.15446
UR - https://ejournals.eu/czasopismo/problems-of-forensic-sciences/artykul/target-backcloth-series-length-and-the-accuracy-of-geographic-profiling-simulation-analysis-of-target-backcloth-series-length-and-the-accuracy-of-geographic-profiling